tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post7253423652686136832..comments2024-03-28T09:22:36.967+13:00Comments on Offsetting Behaviour: Dealing with uncertaintyEric Cramptonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15831696523324469713noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-50760483980038602682011-05-31T23:54:07.809+12:002011-05-31T23:54:07.809+12:00Also, they gave the same odds after the September ...Also, they gave the same odds after the September quake, so it seems to be just a statement about observed frequencies rather than any particular knowledge about tectonic pressures building up. I doubt there's any more uncertainty than any other quaked cities (San Franciso, Kobe, Concepcion come to mind) had to deal with during their recoveries.Miguel Sancheznoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-20479617384619086162011-05-31T23:53:06.953+12:002011-05-31T23:53:06.953+12:00Phew!!!Phew!!!Eric Cramptonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15831696523324469713noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-82127784916663077002011-05-31T23:47:02.863+12:002011-05-31T23:47:02.863+12:00Apparently the 23% is for the entire Canterbury re...Apparently the 23% is for the entire Canterbury region, the risk in the Christchurch region for a 6-7 is around 6%. Which is roughly on a par with Wellington and Hawkes Bay.Duncannoreply@blogger.com