tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post3197156763278169919..comments2024-03-28T09:22:36.967+13:00Comments on Offsetting Behaviour: Crowded houseEric Cramptonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15831696523324469713noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-23739638631034894912013-12-09T15:39:23.915+13:002013-12-09T15:39:23.915+13:00Maybe it's all post hoc prompter hoc, but ther...Maybe it's all post hoc prompter hoc, but there seemed to be significant county-level tightening of rules and enforcement with increased Mexican migrant labour to the DC metro area. Neighbours see too many working-class cars and trucks outside a property, they complain....Eric Cramptonhttp://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-20086368617525813422013-12-09T14:54:13.351+13:002013-12-09T14:54:13.351+13:00Hopefully impossible to do that particular correla...Hopefully impossible to do that particular correlation on the data.RobSnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-23695111837057813062013-12-06T21:02:53.347+13:002013-12-06T21:02:53.347+13:00I am not sure about anything, i just know my price...I am not sure about anything, i just know my prices for renting are going down right now, I do good deals but I have to fight. Christchurch is for tough people. They closed the roads down did you see that .paul scottnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-75796175967022968982013-12-06T20:49:37.821+13:002013-12-06T20:49:37.821+13:00There are dozens of districts; we just put up a fe...There are dozens of districts; we just put up a few. Northland is one of the ones that's an outlier; so's Wellington. I've not been more than a half-hour north of Auckland, and haven't dug into any of the related data, so I'd be reluctant to start guessing.Eric Cramptonhttp://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-59103233017844257972013-12-06T17:08:10.069+13:002013-12-06T17:08:10.069+13:00What do you think is happening in Northland?What do you think is happening in Northland?Marynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-17846326286281440452013-12-06T15:03:52.207+13:002013-12-06T15:03:52.207+13:00There's no way that those are driving things. ...There's no way that those are driving things. First off, this is very much a rough cut. I didn't weight things by population. Which means that while Auckland doesn't get anywhere near the attention it deserves, it also can't be driving the results. <br /><br /><br />Lemmie check. Redoing, getting a correlation coefficient of 0.67 with all districts in. Dropping Auckland city: 0.68. Dropping Auckland and Christchurch and Waimak/Selwyn: 0.59. <br /><br /><br />A lot of the action is in big reductions in overcrowding in places with declining housing costs - people moving away from small towns for the big smoke leaving more room in the small towns for those staying there. <br /><br /><br />Again, this is a rough first cut. We got the data Tuesday morning and were aiming for a Tuesday afternoon Press deadline. But it's pretty easy to play around with yourself if you like. Get "Table 3: Household Composition by Territorial Authority Area", then match it to the QV website by district. We used March 2009 through March 2013 QV data to get a census-month end-point and to have a same-month earliest start point.Eric Cramptonhttp://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-58658074964225068842013-12-06T14:47:57.422+13:002013-12-06T14:47:57.422+13:00I remember those sorts of rules in Fairfax / Vienn...I remember those sorts of rules in Fairfax / Vienna / Falls Church too. They were pretty clearly designed to screw over Mexican migrant workers.Eric Cramptonhttp://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-27165033071699220972013-12-06T13:39:34.385+13:002013-12-06T13:39:34.385+13:00Where I grew up, the county made this illegal. I f...Where I grew up, the county made this illegal. I forget the details, but you couldn't have more than X number of unrelated people in a single family house. It hasn't stopped people building illegal granny flats but has probably reduced their number.Billhttp://gropingtobethlehem.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-66699573735503593212013-12-06T12:49:55.846+13:002013-12-06T12:49:55.846+13:00If you take out Waimakariri, Selwyn - Places where...If you take out Waimakariri, Selwyn - Places where housing broadly survived the quake but close to the large numbers of people that need housing. Also take out Christchurch, demand shock faster than capacity to increase housing boosting prices, do you still have a significant result? If so, is it just because of the existence of Auckland?RobSnoreply@blogger.com