tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post6267106311076939109..comments2024-03-28T09:22:36.967+13:00Comments on Offsetting Behaviour: KilljoysEric Cramptonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15831696523324469713noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-72820560937451302262012-03-08T12:54:09.273+13:002012-03-08T12:54:09.273+13:00Very hard reading for us Eric to find out that a s...Very hard reading for us Eric to find out that a survey of 13 is meaningless ; <br />and that Statistics are political,;<br />and we can't eat chocolate unless we ask permission.peterquixotehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15873112816453062068noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-53414289869898905422012-03-08T09:07:48.878+13:002012-03-08T09:07:48.878+13:00I know I've seen evidence on teenagers overest...I know I've seen evidence on teenagers overestimating the probability of becoming alcoholics conditional on drinking, but I can't recall seeing anything on survey estimates of kids on likelihood of becoming addicted conditional on consuming cigarettes. If the risk assessment is wrong, first cut policy is information provision on actual risk, right?Eric Cramptonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15831696523324469713noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2830084253401570472.post-60265572168921753612012-03-08T08:26:42.696+13:002012-03-08T08:26:42.696+13:00I'd quibble about one point: I'd say there...I'd quibble about one point: I'd say there is reduced freedom of choice in case of addiction. In the case of, say, drinking beer or avoiding arsenic you and I make an informed decision that balances our perception of risks and benefits. The incidence of alcohol, arsenic or skiing addiction seems to be much smaller than for nicotine and I'd suggest freedom of choice is larger.Luishttp://quantumforest.comnoreply@blogger.com