As I noted last year, the University of Canterbury administration has this
year increased the price of an annual parking permit threefold from (roughly)
$100 to $300. This raises the price from what was a subsidised rate to
something they calculate as being approximately marginal cost. Needless to say,
this is something that the Economics department had been advising for a long
time, given our propensity to value efficiency even at the expense of our own
direct wellbeing. After a few months of experience with the new policy, it has
become clear, though, that it is not only efficiency enhancing, but it has also increased
consumer surplus even without consideration of what use the university makes of
the increased revenue.
How can that be? It is an application of how the deadweight loss
triangle in a standard S&D diagram understates the cost of a price floor or
ceiling. Previously a parking permit at Canterbury did not confer a right to
park; it conferred the right to hunt for a park. Many of us wasted a lot of
time searching for a park before giving up and parking on the street several
blocks away. The problem was particularly acute on wet days. Some of those who successfully found parks had a low willingness
to pay, others who missed out valued the parks much more highly. How do we know
this? Well this year, as a result of a trivial price change from
next-to-nothing to three times next-to-nothing, the carparks are never full.*
Even on the wettest days, one can come in late and always be guaranteed a park.
Those cluttering up the parks last year but not this clearly didn’t value the
parks highly; this year, it is only those put a high value on parking who get
the parks. And how high can that value be. Well we don’t know for sure, but I
am sure this story could be replicated here.
So there we have it. The price went up, and so did consumer surplus.
Could the same happen in reverse. Well imagine if you were to impose average
cost pricing in the retail electricity market despite it being an industry with
sharply increasing marginal cost. Everyone would get a lower price for power,
but with no guarantee that the lights would come on on demand. Consumer surplus
might well go down. And that is without even considering the lost government
revenue from publicly owned power companies….
* I find it difficult to comprehend the size of the demand response; think
of the Slutzky equation: there is a huge shortage of on-street parking around
the university, so there are no close substitutes for on-campus parking;
$300/annum is hardly a large fraction of anyone’s expenditure, student or
lecturer. Can the income elasticity really be that high?
I'll take a stab at an explanation, Seamus.
ReplyDeleteYear Student headcount Staff
2009
Eric, that is part of the story but only a small part. Last year, the park closest to the ECON dept was always full by 10:00, earlier on a wet day. By 11:00 there were always cars milling around waiting for a spot to appear. This year, even at its busiest on a wet day, the park is at way less than 85% capacity. Given that the numbers searching last year constituted more than 100% of capacity, and add in the discourgaed-parkers effect that saw some who valued parks at the price but never bothered searching because they knew the chance of a park was low, and you get something close to a 50% reduction in the quantity demand, of which only 15 percentage points can be explained by the reduction in numbers. Add in the fact that the city council has reduced the number of on-street parks around campus this year, and the size of reduction that has to be explained by price is even greater.
ReplyDeleteWas the Commerce lot blocked off last year? I wonder whether construction pressures in lots elsewhere on campus had any effect.
ReplyDeleteYou'll know the general state better than I will; we commute in to drop the kids at campus daycare / Ilam school for an 8:30 arrival.
Survey the economics department, they are probably the biggest tightarses (OK OK, - have the highest income elasticity).
ReplyDeleteYou have just proposed a ridiculously fun potential honours project. I wonder whether we can get the data.
ReplyDelete